In the past month, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown some weak trends. The technical form has shown a downward trend. Bitcoin's rebound strength has been weaker than the previous one, and Ethereum's rebound is even weaker.
The market trend is nothing more than a comprehensive response to factors such as capital, macro-financial environment, news, and ecological activities.
🔎 Capital:
This wave of BTC-driven market trends is driven by ETFs. After the ETF was passed in January, Wall Street institutions were full of momentum and bought hundreds of millions of dollars of BTC every day, resulting in a nearly 100% increase in 2 months. After April, especially recently, BlackRock ended its continuous net buying and even started net selling. The capital side "suddenly" dried up. After the Bitcoin "halving" event in April, the market capital rate dropped drastically and even turned negative, indicating that market funds have become particularly cautious, which has the most direct impact on market sentiment.
🔎 Market:
The general trend of $BTC in the future, in the short term I think any fluctuation in the range of $61,000 to $65,000 is necessary, which will force those who are not firm enough to wash out. After a short adjustment, $BTC will continue to consolidate in the range of $66,000 to $70,000, and then start a strong altcoin season.
🔎 Sector trend:
Currently, the artificial intelligence sector is the best performing:
$RNDR - Due to their official 'partnership' with Apple, it has also become a leader in the field of artificial intelligence as we witness the narrative rotation.
$ENA - As the market is bullish again, funds will undoubtedly return to positive, which is essentially beneficial to Ethena. The team has also been hyping up recently, announcing more reward increases, and the founder also tweeted 'an important week'.
$JTO - There is news that Jito is building 'Solana's feature layer' - essentially reinjecting SOL.
$ETHFI - TVL seems to be increasing despite many LRT related tokens being sold off post-Eigen.
🔎 May Events:
$FTM - Major upgrade with Fantom Sonic.
$NEAR - Multichain abstract paper with an impressive tech stack.
$TON - Mini-apps are the next big thing in mobile blockchain.
$TIA - Modular DA market leader with more airdrops for stakers to come.
$ARB - Appchains are going to be the next big narrative and Arbitrum is leading the charge with Orbit.
$STX - A promising BTC sidechain as the Satoshi upgrade is reportedly coming soon.