I just found out some statistics about BTC mining costs
Before halving, this cost was only about 60k. After the halving, it did not double due to real-time data latency, and now it is almost double the cost before the halving. This cost seems to include the depreciation cost of their machinery
In case
BTC dropped more than 60k, most miners are probably ready to close and use that money to buy BTC
So according to my reasoning, if there is a discount of over 60k, within 2 weeks the price will return to over 60k.
The smaller the third index in the figure is, the better
Here is the data I found in Macromicro