I just found out some statistics about the cost of mining BTC
Before the halving, this cost was only around 60k. After the halving, it did not jump to double because of the latency of real time data, and now it is almost double the cost before the halving. This cost seems to include the depreciation cost of their machinery
In case
BTC drops more than 60k, surely most miners are ready to shut down and use that money to buy BTC
So according to my reasoning, if there is a decrease of more than 60k, within 2 weeks the price will return to above 60k.
The third index in the figure, the smaller it is than 1, the better
This is data i found in Macromicro