The first halving, Bitcoin increased by 262 times
The second halving, Bitcoin increased by 53 times
The third halving, Bitcoin increased by 19 times
The fourth halving, can Bitcoin increase by ___ times?
It can be observed that the growth multiple is reduced to about 20% to 40% of the previous one each time. For example:
The second growth multiple is 53/262 of the first one ≈ 0.20 (20%)
The third growth multiple is 19/53 of the second one ≈ 0.36 (36%)
If this trend continues, we can assume that the fourth growth multiple will be about 20% to 40% of the third one. The price at the fourth halving is $63,000, calculated as follows:
Low estimate: 19 * 0.20 = 3.8 times * 63,000 = 239,000 USD
High estimate: 19 * 0.40 = 7.6 times * 63,000 = 478,800 USD
This is just a rough estimate by Ai based on historical data.
