It sounds like you're discussing a strategy for navigating the cryptocurrency market, particularly focusing on Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins. Let me recap and rephrase your points:
1. **BTC Halving and Market Response**: When BTC undergoes a halving, regardless of whether its price is $70,000 or $250,000, it typically triggers an increase in value. Whales (large holders of BTC) and stock markets tend to react to this increase by selling BTC.
2. **Whales' Strategy**: Instead of immediately buying back the BTC they sold, whales often employ tactics to induce fear and uncertainty in the market. This can include spreading negative news such as war, food shortages, or stock market crashes to create panic among investors.
3. **Effect on Altcoins**: As BTC is sold and fear spreads in the market, there is often a surge in altcoin prices. Altcoins tend to experience larger gains and losses compared to BTC. When BTC falls, altcoins often drop even more, and vice versa.
4. **Whales' Actions in Altcoin Season**: Whales capitalize on the rise in altcoins by reinvesting the money earned from selling BTC into undervalued altcoins, initiating an "altcoin season."
5. **Cyclical Nature of the Market**: This pattern tends to repeat itself in cycles. When whales buy BTC, it's a signal to buy BTC, and when they switch to buying altcoins, it's time to focus on altcoins.
6. **The Role of Negative News**: Whales often use negative news to manipulate market sentiment. Contrary to intuition, a barrage of bad news can sometimes coincide with a rise in the market, as investors flock to alternative assets like cryptocurrencies.
7. **Risk Management Principles**: It's important to trade with only a portion of your capital, keeping the rest in reserve to mitigate losses during crises and take advantage of other opportunities.
In essence, the strategy revolves around observing whale behavior, reacting to market shifts, and maintaining a balanced approach to risk management.
