In fact, many fans of the Square only know that black swan means a big crash, so they don’t even know the definition of the term black swan!
A black swan event refers to an event that people often perceive as being wrong. In the financial industry, it is generally a major unexpected event with a very large impact and an extremely low probability of occurrence. Once it occurs, it will cause destructive fluctuations.
The reason why it is called the black swan is that at first everyone thought that all swans were white. Until the black swan was discovered, the worldview of "all swans are white" was shattered, and people's fair information was wrong.
For example, the UK's withdrawal from the EU was something that even the British themselves had not expected. Polls at the time showed that many people voted to leave the EU because they thought that others would vote to stay in the EU, so they wanted to go against others. As a result, everyone thought so, so the next day when the British woke up, they found that they had announced their withdrawal from the EU, and only then did they search on Google to find out what the EU was and what the consequences of leaving the EU would be.
As for the causes, most of them are related to Brexit, which is the so-called upset.
If someone says that there will definitely be a black swan in the absolute future, or that there will definitely be no black swan, they will be treated as charlatans.
The definition of black swan is "unpredictable risk accident". Since it is unpredictable, don't use the word "certain".
1. There will be a washout before the bull market begins, but it is not necessarily caused by a black swan, it may be a technical correction. Washout ≠ black swan.
2. You can’t wait for a black swan to appear, so don’t expect a black swan to help you buy at the bottom. Black swans often appear when you least expect it.
3. The idea is to take prevention as the priority. This is a probabilistic event, which means it "may" happen, so you should prepare a response plan in advance.
4. Opportunities are hidden in crises. If a black swan appears, it is a great opportunity to enter the market, but the fear of human nature will cause most people not to dare to do so.
So, as the market has developed to this point, based on our speculation in the past, we expect there to be a black swan-style crash and a bull run. What we need to do is to predict and prevent, reduce holdings of some small currencies, and be cautious when taking long-term contracts!
Black swans are unpredictable, but pullbacks and market cleansing are inevitable. If a car wants to go far, it needs to lose weight. Institutional cryptocurrency circles will not use all leverage to make money!
The last 90% of the contracts are liquidated.
Of course, a market clean-up does not mean an absolutely bad thing. Instead, it is another opportunity to get rich quickly.
Click to follow just to attract fans
There are posts every day. You can only get them every day by clicking on the avatar according to the strategic layout.
