#美联储利率决议 On June 15th at 2:00, the Federal Reserve stopped raising interest rates and maintained high interest rates. However, in subsequent reports, it still spoke hawkishly. The US dollar index strengthened again in the short term, which was bad for non-US currencies including (Bitcoin), and US stocks turned down in the short term!
1. Fed interest rate swaps no longer bet on a Fed rate cut in 2023.
2. "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos: The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, but hinted that this might be only a very short pause. The Fed raised its median forecast for interest rates in 2023 by 50 basis points to 5.6%. The interest rate hike indicates that the number of rate hikes may increase or the rate hike may increase!
3.
"Fed mouthpiece": The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, but expects two more rate hikes this year
On June 15, Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," wrote that the Federal Reserve agreed to keep interest rates unchanged after 10 consecutive rate hikes, but hinted that they were inclined to raise interest rates next month if the economy and inflation did not cool further. After the two-day policy meeting, most people in the Federal Reserve expected two more rate hikes this year and raised their expectations for economic growth and inflation in the economic forecast released on Wednesday.
4. Jinshi Selected Comments: The Fed's dot plot shows that 12 Fed officials expect interest rates to rise to at least 5.5%-5.75% this year, 4 officials expect at least one more rate hike this year, and only 2 believe there will be no more rate hikes.
5. The chart in the Federal Reserve’s economic expectations shows that most FOMC participants believe that PCE inflation and core PCE inflation face high uncertainty, with risks tending to be on the upside.
