#大盘走势
Why is there a big bull market in 2025?
First of all, the world's top bosses are quietly harvesting global wealth by taking advantage of the tidal effect of the US dollar.
This year, the US dollar interest rate is expected to reach 5.5%, while the core CPI has dropped to 3%. This means that the interest earned by depositing US dollars in banks can not only cover inflation, but also earn an additional 2% in return. In contrast, the interest rates of many countries' currencies (such as the RMB) are relatively low, making it difficult to resist inflationary pressure. Such interest rate spreads will further accelerate the return of US dollars from all over the world to the US banking system.
Standing behind the US banks are world-class capital giants. Why are they willing to pay such high interest rates to recover a large amount of US dollars? The answer is that they are using these funds to buy assets with core value while depressing global asset prices. These two operations are not contradictory. Although this round of harvesting cycle may be extended due to the resistance of central banks, once the US dollar starts to cut interest rates, it means that the process is already halfway through. At first, you may be happy to accept the 5% interest, but when the interest rate drops, you will find that valuable assets have doubled.
Looking at the current situation of the currency circle, the total market value of the entire currency circle is only 2.5 trillion US dollars, while asset management companies such as BlackRock have managed assets of 9.5 trillion US dollars. At present, many large asset management companies, including BlackRock, are applying for BTCETF. Countries and international organizations are also actively promoting supervision and compliance. It can be foreseen that BTC will at least become an important part of this round of asset allocation. If capital giants allocate part of BTC through banks and investment banks, its scale is bound to grow significantly.
Regarding the SEC's consideration of XRP and other securities, the suppression of Binance by European and American governments, and the layoffs and welfare cuts by many exchanges, the logic behind this is that capital giants have seen the huge potential of digital currencies. Entering this field, they are eager to master pricing power and cannot tolerate the greatest voice being held by a Chinese company. At the same time, they have their own coinbase, stock exchanges, and commodity exchanges. The attributes of these projects or companies are not important. What is important is to be able to go on their exchanges and accept their supervision.Although some exchanges founded by individuals, such as Binance and OKX, may become non-mainstream exchanges, this is a big boon for the price of coins.
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