The weather in April is really unpredictable, just like the recent market conditions, which makes many investors anxious. I have seen everyone's questions, and although I am a little hesitant to reply, I will still try my best to reply to everyone one by one.

Market fluctuations do have traces, and the recent turmoil is mainly related to the monetary policy of the United States. The Nasdaq index has also fallen sharply, which is due to the disagreement within the Federal Reserve on whether to raise or lower interest rates.

Although Powell has repeatedly sent out dovish signals, Waller's attitude is more conservative. This divergence makes the market uncertain about future monetary policy and even begins to question the possibility of rate cuts. Their different views on the starting point of rate cuts and PCE data have led to a six-month time difference in market expectations. If Waller's view is followed, there may not be an actual rate cut this year. Powell believes that if the situation is optimistic, rate cuts may begin in June this year. This uncertainty makes the giants of the financial market uneasy.

Currently, the United States is still at the end of the interest rate hike cycle. The amount of principal and interest they need to repay each year is huge, and the pressure is not small. In the past two years of interest rate hikes, the capital inflow in the market has also been considerable. For the financial circle in the United States, there is a large amount of interest to be repaid every day. Six months is enough to crush many large capitals.

The financial market in the United States is different from ours. We have a large amount of foreign exchange cash flow from imports and exports to offset the impact of inflation. The United States is mainly a capital market. If they still have room for manipulation, they will not take action against other countries, let alone increase the yield of government bonds. Such a high yield has actually made it difficult for investors to leave the market.

Judging from the recent decisions of the United States, they seem to have fallen into one trap after another, and the problems of capitalism itself have not been fundamentally solved. The delay in interest rate cuts may just be a financial smokescreen to discourage capital from other markets. Especially after the United States announced its interest rate cut strategy, it found that cash flow did not flow into its own market, but flowed to the Eastern market, which must have made them feel unbalanced. But if they do not cut interest rates, the huge debt has become a problem for them, and they are already in a dilemma.

For us, aside from the matter itself, the hesitation of the Americans is only about the timing of the interest rate cut, and they have not questioned the decision of the interest rate cut. For our cryptocurrency circle, just like the decision on the general direction, it proves that our trend is still bullish, it is just a matter of time. In the medium term, our judgment is still correct. As long as the three factors we are concerned about (interest rate cuts leading to a fall in the exchange rate, Ethereum listing, and Bitcoin halving) are not realized, the market will be in a volatile stage, and there will be no historic breakout or deep correction.

The main reason why you are confused recently is the mid-line issue. Many friends think that the bull market is back when Bitcoin breaks through $70,000, and start to worry once a sharp correction occurs. In fact, we are still confident in our control of the trend. Especially with the recent deep correction, coupled with the increase in exchange rates mentioned in the previous article, everyone may think that the currency market will fall again. But as long as you look at the exchange rate clearly, you can understand the direction of long and short. The exchange rate of USDT reached a high of around 7.5, which was the trough period of the currency market's correction. The exchange rate was also around 7.1-7.2 before, which led to an increase in the currency market. The mid-line has been adjusted back to around 7.38 again, and it has entered the correction stage again. The contract situation of the mid-line can be operated in accordance with the exchange rate of USDT, and the exchange rate basically determines the trend of the mid-line.

For spot users, short-term pullbacks may cause losses to varying degrees, because none of the three factors have been met yet. But the depth of the pullback is actually an opportunity for everyone to enter the market. In particular, the United States is hesitant not about the decision to cut interest rates, but about the timeline, which also shows that a later interest rate cut is inevitable. Once the interest rate cut is achieved, a large amount of funds will flow into the cryptocurrency market, and it is only a matter of time before it rises. Moreover, there is still good news in the cryptocurrency market. Even if the interest rate cut is delayed, the listing of Ethereum and the halving of Bitcoin will not allow the cryptocurrency market to directly enter a bear market.

Walking alone is lonely, and leeks need to walk in groups. The bull market has arrived, and Qiqi Xiaoquan welcomes everyone to join us, move forward hand in hand, live up to this bull market, and welcome the uncertain future with a certain group.#Meme #APT #sui $BTC $ETH