Rich experience in the currency circle. You can ask any questions. See the signature on the homepage.
Now looking back at some predictions from last year,
1. Cleaning the house is completed and CZ/SBF treatment is coming to an end.
2. The basic analysis of the chip distribution of the big pie is completed. Through processing CZ, we have basically obtained all the original data of BN.
3. ETF approval is passed, and the construction of the US dollar reservoir function is completed.
4. After the recruitment is completed, Bitcoin has completely lost its hedging function like gold. Of course, anyone who knows some physics now knows that gold can only be produced when a neutron star or supernova explodes. The biggest difference from diamonds is that the cost of manufacturing a collider is much higher. Given its market price, it is the only thing that is truly scarce and has storage value. Bitcoin is actually not truly scarce. There are many currencies with better technical functions than Bitcoin on the market. At present, only consensus is scarce, but this will disappear in a long enough period. Bitcoin’s current situation The function is the U.S. dollar reservoir and transactions you know. According to this logic, 1 trillion is still too small, and it must be at least 10 trillion to be sufficient. Calculating this way, a million-dollar pie is not a dream.
6. Everyone knows that ETF will become a reservoir after approval, but they did not expect it to be activated so quickly. After the approval of gold ETF, it took 8 months to consolidate and pull up. The market adjusted back to the second support level of 38,000 in just a few weeks. It couldn't wait to start a sharp rebound. Chatting with friends in the industry these days, there are not many people who are short selling.
7. My personal guess is that the rapid rise in the pie is very similar to the recent extraordinary rise in U.S. stocks, Japanese stocks and other stocks. Because the spillover effect of excessive currency issuance is obvious, they are all trying to tell stories to increase valuations and absorb a lot of liquidity. AI has already Call out 7 trillion to open the upper limit. Didn’t you see that although 1 trillion in liquidity was sucked in during the QT period, the U.S. Treasury actually released 2.5 trillion in liquidity, and there is still 1.5 trillion in the market. If these flows are not locked, the real economy will be greatly impacted. The American version of beans, garlic, and ginger is actually already happening. Prices and tips will rise sharply. If huge amounts of currency liquidity are released, the US dollar will It really wants to become a golden dollar coupon #WIF #SHIB #sui #Fet