This method uses the concept of Internal Range Liquidity (IRL) and External Range Liquidity (ERL) to identify potential bias in the market and guide trading decisions.
Identifying Bias:
ERL and IRL:
Identify the ERL (External Range Liquidity) & IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) in the daily/weekly chart above and below and closest to the current price.
ERL & IRL represents an area of potential buying & selling interest in the market.
Market always moves in those 2 areas for liquidity.
Bias Direction:
If the market takes the IRL and above there is an ERL, the bias is bullish until it reaches the ERL.
This suggests that the market is likely to move up to fill the liquidity at the ERL before potentially reversing or consolidating.
Price Action after ERL:
Scenario 1: If Price touches & closes below ERL with reversal/momentum shift in H1/H4:
This indicates a potential bearish reversal. The market may now go down to retest the untouched IRL below.
Scenario 2: No reversal/momentum shift after reaching ERL:
Two possibilities:
Continuation of bullish trend: The market may continue its upward movement beyond the ERL.
Consolidation: The market may consolidate around the ERL level before making another directional move.
Trading Rules:
Long Entry: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks above the ERL with confirmation from bullish indicators, such as higher highs and higher lows.
Short Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price closes below the ERL with a reversal/momentum shift in H1/H4, indicating a potential bearish move towards the IRL.
Exit: Exit the trade based on your risk management strategy and relevant market conditions. Take profit near potential reversal zones like the IRL or ERL, or use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Additional Notes:
This method is based on the assumption that the market tends to fill liquidity gaps and balance imbalances.
It's important to consider other technical indicators and market context alongside this method for confirmation before making trading decisions.
Backtesting and paper trading are recommended to evaluate the effectiveness of this method in different market conditions.
Remember, this is just a guide, and market conditions can change rapidly. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
