3·12? The epidemic 😷 caused the U.S. stock market to circuit breaker three times, and the big pie will certainly not be spared! 9·4? Ten ministries and commissions jointly declared that supervision will be carried out with thunderous force! Luna exploded on 5.19, and she is in the bull's seat again! So what were the signs of the plunge in March? Why? Mentougou? ! How much pie is there, more than Grayscale? ETF swallows it directly! Presumably many people are still waiting for the big correction in March. Looking at the possibility of a major correction in March, we looked at it in early January. At that time, Bitcoin was in the daily adjustment cycle in January. At that time, Yuanzhan might upgrade to a weekly adjustment in March. That was a logical deduction. But currently, I am conservative as to whether there will be any major adjustments in March. At least for now, I can’t see any signs. As long as there are no black swans, the big correction in March, which is the third stage of bargain hunting, does not exist. I have been emphasizing before that you should not deliberately pursue buying at the lowest point. You should buy when Bitcoin drops sharply before the halving, because there are not many opportunities for a sharp drop.

So having said that, are there signs of black swans? that's for sure. Normally, big and small needles must be received every time, and we always tell them in advance before inserting the needles. If there is a big waterfall, can we not tell it in advance? It doesn’t mean that the market is very strong today and there is no sign that there will be a black swan and it will fall directly tomorrow. There has never been such a trend. You must know that 3.12 in 2020 was not cast directly in one day. Before 3.12, it had been falling from the high point of 2.14 for 30 days. The occurrence of 3.12 was caused by the convergence of countless small drops. Then on May 19, 2021, it did not happen suddenly. My teacher at that time, Mr. Song Jianyi, the author of the book "K-line Kinetic Energy Theory", gave us a warning one month in advance as early as April 18 that Bitcoin might be cut in half later. Possible, because at that time, after Bitcoin reached a new high, it appeared in a high short position for a long time, and the invisible rising dynamics were insufficient. We are all staunch bulls, never go short, avoid positions in advance, and successfully escaped the baptism of 5.19.

What I mean by the above is very clear. This year is a violent bull market. If you don't get on the dip, you will completely lose the entire bull market. The second quarter is an upward trend, and the fourth quarter will hit a high point. If my guess is correct, BTC will hit the 70,000 mark before July, then go sideways for 3 months, and then hit the 10,000 mark after October.#降息期待 #24年大牛市