Be a discerning trader

When trading, you are faced with choices, first of all, the choice of product, then the choice of price and timing. Excellent traders will try their best to maintain strict standards and choose products and timing with the most discerning eyes. Mediocre and failed traders often have arbitrary standards and are hungry and do not choose food. They would rather kill a thousand by mistake than let one go, and in the end they will suffer heavy losses and be defeated.

1. Being discerning requires capital

(The following content is based on trading experience and basic technical analysis skills)

Being discerning requires capital, and this capital is the trading system you build.

I divide the trading system into three parts:

Trend determination (average price line of the moving average system), abnormal movement signals (K-line price breakthrough or increase in volume), trend segmentation (peak and bottom, auxiliary indicators for determination; on the way up and down, you can refer to the impulse wave in the wave theory).

Trend determination: Relying on the moving average system, we can set 200ma as the long and short line, and the turning point of the moving average is 5ma. Crossing 20ma is a long turning point, and crossing below is a short turning point. This determines the direction of the position.

Abnormal signal: When a breakthrough K-line appears and the trading volume meets the requirements, we can use it as the opening point or opening area. The trading volume is the first of the four elements of technical analysis "volume, price, time and space". Any transaction without trading volume is not worth trading. Here we decide whether to open a position.

Trend segmentation: This part is more subjective and can be judged with the help of technical indicators, such as the divergence of MACD. When a turning point appears in the downward trend, we set it as the bottom or top, and decide the intensity of participation here.

2. Traders need to practice basic skills

As the old saying goes, success in any industry requires tens of thousands of hours of experience. Experience comes from long-term trading accumulation, which is why a good trader needs more than 10 years of trading experience. Of course, there are also talented players. The accumulation of experience in futures requires scientific and practical training.

1. Be familiar with the rules of the game. You should be familiar with all the rules related to trading, such as the design rules of the product, margin ratio, price fluctuation, and even holiday changes. Many people have been trading for a long time. They can talk about it very well, but when asked, they know only a little bit. They talk about national affairs and look up to others. If they really let you make money, it would be unacceptable.

2. Technical analysis down to the details. K-line can not only tell the highest and lowest opening and closing prices, for example, we have made 4 categories and dozens of classifications. In fact, especially for short-term traders, you should focus on about 10 types of daily K-line: medium-large Yang line, medium-long upper shadow, medium-long lower shadow, medium-large Yin line, medium-large spiral line. The corresponding time-sharing charts are divided into four categories: opening market, mid-front market, mid-back market, and end market.

3. The properties of the varieties are different. Behind each trading variety, there is a group of traders who track the transactions for a long time. It takes time for us to understand their personalities and tempers. For some people who are not in tune with their tempers, you will lose no matter what you do. For some people who are in line with your personality, you will be successful no matter what you do. This is very critical. Generally, it is ideal to be familiar with one variety before starting to copy multiple varieties. For most people, it is very impressive if they can do well in less than 3 varieties. Of course, programming is an exception.

3. Experience and lessons learned from trading

1. Emotions are the enemy of subjective trading. Off-site interference includes physical condition, daily life and financial pressure, while on-site interference includes making money or losing money, losing money-making opportunities, etc. The only way to overcome interference is to strengthen training and adjust your mentality.

2. Execution is the foundation of a good deal. Do the second part well and execute the first part. Don't change your mind. See the mountain as the mountain. Don't take action for possible empty promises in the future.

3. Trading is mental labor, but also physical labor. A healthy body is more important than anything else. The purpose of making money is to live a better life, and a good body is the most important thing, otherwise the meaning of making money is lost.

4. The better the trader, the more picky he is. He is picky about trends, not clear and not sure; he is picky about signals, not satisfied with any factor, such as volume, price, time, space, and not sure; he is picky about stages, and tries to wait and see at the end of the trend, or try to trade in the middle of the market, and make quick decisions. Only a picky eye can choose the best market, and as long as you are picky, you can find resonance and resonance. What everyone likes is naturally a big market.

If you want to be a good trader, you must remember to be a discerning person.

Most failures come from money management

1. Analysis and research will encourage you to enter the market

When we use a certain analysis method to find a buying point or selling point, the previous successful charts tell us that we can make money if we buy here, and make a lot of money. Based on such expectations, you will start to act. Buy, buy more. If you are right once, you will have a lot of regrets, you see this analysis method is really good, I should have bought a little more at that price. The next time you encounter a similar "opportunity", you will often muster up the courage to give it a try. A "small" mistake may make you fall to the bottom.

2. Failure makes us aware of risks

It should be said that most speculators have experienced losses. After buying, the price immediately goes in the opposite direction, or after buying, it rises for a while and then falls back. After trading for a period of time, all traders must admit that speculation is a probability game, with both losses and wins. The risk of losses makes us understand that we must do proper fund management (position management).

3. The analysis system and the risk control system are contradictory

The analysis system is telling you that this is a good opportunity. Don’t miss such a good opportunity, open a position quickly. The risk control system will tell you to be careful that you lost money last time. Be cautious. A balance needs to be found here. Every trader is an independent person with personality. There are two good ways to resolve this contradiction:

1. Buffett said that if I have the ability to cross a 1-meter hurdle, I will look for 0.5-meter hurdles to cross.

2. Soros said that you should invest less tentatively at the beginning, and then increase your investment when the market is exactly as you expected.

Regardless of whether these two people have said the above words, we can get the necessary information from them. First of all, each of us has different psychological qualities. The risks you bear should not make you feel uneasy, otherwise you will not be able to objectively and rationally judge market opportunities; secondly, if you think there will be a good market in the future, then you can tentatively buy at the beginning, observe whether the market trend is in line with expectations, and then increase your investment, which will be more scientific and rational.

4. You must convince yourself to control your position

1. Reduce the interference of emotions on subjective judgment.

2. Safety is the secret to longevity.

3. Stability is the favorite of wealth.

4. Traders must bring enough ammunition to the battlefield.

5. Don’t kill all, leave room for everything.

5. Losses and profits are both information fed back by the system

Trading must establish a reasonable and correct system. After the system is generated, the market will bloom when it blooms and bear fruit when it bears fruit. Everything is determined by the market. Profits cannot be equated with correctness, and losses cannot be confused with mistakes, because profits are the feedback of risks, and losses are the reminder of risks. As long as your system is reasonable, it will give you profits within the trend and bear losses at the turning point. There is no transaction without losses and costs. This is the fundamental reason for controlling positions.