Breaking through 45k, BTC should have successfully started the third wave.
This is the most important upward trend. BTC will break through ATH before the Fed cuts interest rates and establish broad consensus and confidence.
I hope that after the fifth wave of the bull market, BTC will break through 200k.
In the third wave, I think altcoins may not be able to keep up with BTC. Those who did not sell altcoins at high levels in the second wave will learn a lesson.
Sol is the leader, but the excess returns and risks are not particularly attractive.
ETH may need to rebuild its confidence, and transitioning to POS is a huge challenge.
Even if XMR is delisted, it is still worth holding. If you have never used a wallet, this is a good start. Monero GUI wallet is the best cryptocurrency wallet in the world.
The biggest potential negative is the MtGox liquidation. Referring to the ETF short selling, if the liquidation is rapid, the market will form a 20% callback consensus. If MtGox is profit-oriented, I think it may wait until BTC is high before selling.