đđ˘ XRP ETF Approval: A Road Paved with Uncertainties
While these developments are intriguing, theyâre far from a solid confirmation of an XRP ETF in the works. The road to ETF approval is fraught with regulatory hoops and complex scrutiny, particularly for a currency like XRP that currently lacks a robust futures market. The ongoing legal tussle between the SEC and Ripple only adds to the uncertainty, making the approval of an XRP ETF seem like a distant dream.
Analysts are cautious, pointing out that a spot XRP ETF is unlikely to see the light of day without significant shifts in the regulatory landscape. Townsend Lansing of CoinShares suggests that an XRP ETF might only become feasible if the SEC is compelled to acknowledge XRP as not a security. The current lawsuitâs outcome, where the judgeâs ruling differentiated XRPâs status between retail and institutional sales, is a critical factor in this equation.
Scott Johnsson from Van Buren Capital and Max Shannon of CoinShares reflect on the decade-long journey to the approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF, suggesting a similar or even lengthier path for XRP. Bloombergâs ETF analyst, James Seyffart, echoes this sentiment, calling an XRP ETF a âremote possibility.â
Despite this skepticism, the XRP community remains hopeful. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouseâs playful evasion when queried about an XRP ETF at the World Economic Forum and BlackRock CEO Larry Finkâs dismissive smile at a similar question have done little to dampen spirits. Franklin Templetonâs digital asset head, Sandy Kaul, hinted at more crypto ETF filings, further fanning the flames of anticipation.
Yet, the industryâs focus isnât solely on XRP. The potential approval of spot Ethereum ETFs, with Bloombergâs Eric Balchunas estimating a 70% chance, is also a hot topic. The fate of XRP ETFs, however, hangs in a delicate balance, dependent on the SECâs stance post-lawsuit and the establishment of a credible futures market.