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BTC đąđąBitcoin Alert: Potential Dip to $32,000 Post Spot ETF Approval
âïžWarning from Data Provider - 'Sell the News' Scenario Looms
đ«As Bitcoin enthusiasts anticipate the approval of a spot ETF, CryptoQuant issues a cautionary note, predicting a possible downward correction to $32,000 post- approval.
đ«Understanding the 'Sell the News' Dynamics:
đ«In a typical 'sell the news' event, prices, leverage, and sentiment surge in anticipation of a positive development. However, smart traders exploit the crowded long trade, leading to a subsequent drop. This scenario is a common occurrence in capital markets.
đ«Factors Contributing to the Warning:CryptoQuant points to high unrealized profit margins of 30% among short-term Bitcoin holders, historically preceding price corrections. Additionally, short-term holders are still spending Bitcoin at a profit, a trend that usually shifts after short-term losses are realized.
đ«Portfolio Management Advisory from Capriole Investments:
Capriole Investments advises "conservative portfolio management" ahead of the potential ETF approval. With Bitcoin's recent surge of over 60%, the firm highlights increased risk for long Bitcoin positions, emphasizing the need to anticipate larger volatility events.
Historical Context:
Referencing past instances, Bitcoin has witnessed 'sell the news' events in 2017 and 2021. In 2017, after the launch of BTC futuresby CME, Bitcoin peaked at $20,000 but declined in the following months. Similarly, in 2021, after Coinbase's public debut, Bitcoin reached $65,000 before losing value.
Current Bitcoin Status:
As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $42,450, starting the year at $16,000. The daily trading volume remains stable at $80 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.
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