According to Odaily Planet Daily, Goldman Sachs said in a research report released this week that this year's US election may end with a "lame duck President Harris". Goldman Sachs pointed out that Harris is 1.5 percentage points ahead of Trump in national polls and is leading in the key swing state of Pennsylvania. Overall, Harris's chances of winning in November are about 52%-54%. Since she took over Biden's banner against Trump, the election has continued to rise. Since August 1, the probability of the Republican Party winning the election has dropped by 10 percentage points, while the probability of the Democratic Party winning but the Republican Party controlling both the Senate and the House of Representatives or at least one of the houses has risen by 11 percentage points. Goldman Sachs emphasized that although this is the most likely scenario at present, the outcome is still highly uncertain.