According to PANews, recent data from the prediction market Polymarket indicates that China is now favored to win the most gold medals at the Paris Olympics, surpassing the United States. The current prediction pool for this outcome has reached $7.6 million, with China's probability of securing the most gold medals rising to 54%, while the United States has dropped to 44%.
However, in the prediction market for the country expected to win the most total medals at the Paris Olympics, the United States remains the overwhelming favorite with a nearly 100% probability. This prediction pool has amassed $7.5 million. Additionally, the prediction pool for the Olympic men's basketball gold medal ranks third in size, with a pool of approximately $3.7 million, and the United States holds a 92% probability of winning in this category.