According to U.Today, well-known crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently shared a possible timeline for the next bull market peak of Bitcoin (BTC) on Twitter, and emphasized the key role of the halving cycle in shaping the BTC market trajectory.
According to Rekt Capital’s analysis, Bitcoin has historically reached a bull market peak within 518 to 546 days after the halving event. Based on this timeline, the next bull market peak may occur between mid-September and mid-October 2025. However, recent market dynamics suggest that Bitcoin’s current cycle may be accelerated than historical patterns.
Notably, the Bitcoin price set a new all-time high approximately 260 days ahead of the usual timeline. Despite the apparent acceleration, Bitcoin has been experiencing a pre-halving pullback over the past month. This pullback has caused the cycle to decelerate, pushing the timeline closer to approximately 230 days ahead of the previously observed 260 days. This pullback has caused BTC to slow its momentum, effectively extending the bull cycle by approximately 30 days.
At the same time, Rekt Capital also introduced an "acceleration perspective" that considers the time from Bitcoin's breakout of the previous all-time high to the possible bull market peak. In this case, the peak may occur within 266 to 315 days after exceeding the previous all-time high. Considering that BTC hit a new all-time high in March this year, this view suggests that the next bull market peak may occur between December 2024 and February 2025.
Overall, both the traditional halving cycle timeline and the acceleration perspective provide valuable insights into Bitcoin’s possible bull peak. The continued acceleration of the current cycle suggests that the typical halving cycle length may be halved, potentially leading to a faster market peak. However, the impact of pullbacks and consolidations on the overall cycle must be considered. Extended periods of pullbacks or consolidation could further slow the cycle and delay the expected bull peak.
As Bitcoin continues to navigate the current market cycle, the community is closely monitoring these key factors to gain a clearer picture of when the next bull run peak may occur.
