1. Fundamental data supporting the rise
A- Halving event in 2024
The fourth Bitcoin halving event is expected to take place in April 2024, which will reduce the mining reward from 6.25 to 3.125 Bitcoin per block. Historically, markets have seen significant rallies after each halving event:
2012: Bitcoin rose from around $12 to over $1,100 in 2013.
2016: After the halving, it rose from $650 to $20,000 in 2017.
2020: After the halving, it rose from around $9,000 to over $69,000 in 2021.
If the same pattern repeats, the 2024 halving is expected to lead to a significant rise in 2025.
b- Increase institutional adoption
The adoption of Bitcoin ETFs by major institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity in 2024 will attract billions of dollars to the market.
Tech companies and major banks have started integrating cryptocurrencies into their financial systems.
C- The economic cycle of digital currencies
Bitcoin typically follows a 4-year bull cycle after halving, making 2025 a likely year for a strong bull run.
New investors are entering as cryptocurrencies become more legally accepted globally.
2. Technical and economic factors
A- Technical analysis
Moving Averages indicate a long-term bullish pattern.
Historical analysis shows that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 - $250,000 levels if the bullish cycle continues.
B- Macroeconomics and liquidity
If central banks cut interest rates in 2024-2025, more money may flow into risky assets like Bitcoin.
Continued inflation may push investors towards Bitcoin as a store of value.
3. Potential risks
Government Regulations: Any restriction or ban from major governments may affect the price.
Technical or security issues: hacking of trading platforms or network problems.
Market Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its high volatility, which can lead to downturns even during market bulls.
Conclusion
Given historical data, technical analysis, and increasing institutional adoption, 2025 could be a pivotal year for Bitcoin’s rise. However, investors should manage risk and exercise caution.
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