●Review historical articles to compare BTC trends: 1. From (Figure A) the event mentioned on the 22nd starting from the 15th was subsequently postponed to the 24th. At that time, the events observed were as described on the 15th: "Either BTC will soar, or ETH and altcoins will collapse." There has always been an attempt to determine which it would be. Later, on the 24th, I saw that the ETHBTC index had collapsed, so perhaps it should be said that BTC surged. 2. However, this leads to a problem. The BTC surge referenced in the originally observed events should have directly skyrocketed to 130,000 or collapsed below 90,000. However, such price movements did not occur.
●Looking to the future: 3. Following the 24th, up until now, there have been some subsequent messages. The full event message is "Either BTC will soar, or ETH and altcoins will collapse," but since the meanings of these two types of messages are almost identical, I have yet to see any information that can distinguish between them. Next, let's look at the individual situations of BTC and ETH altcoins. 4. The most significant event for BTC is Trump signing an executive order, but not only did it not cause a spike, it also seemed like consolidation. Just minutes before the signing, over 300 million dollars worth of BTC was transferred, which feels like there was insider information preventing a rise. 5. Looking at the events concerning ETH and altcoins, this event can be considered as a BTC increase, but not a significant one, because the information indicates that the event did not fully resolve, and only about 30% of the issues were addressed, thus the major problems remain. In the ETH context, it is also known that recently Vitalik and many top project teams have been arguing, which even led to the departure of a key developer beside Vitalik. 6. In the future, regarding ETH and altcoins, events will include some information: one relates to a large number of Asian Chinese, two involves many retail investors with fantasies, and three reflects high emotions, with the timeline being during the Asian New Year from the 28th to February 2nd. It coincidentally falls perfectly between New Year's Eve and the fifth day of the New Year, which is the complete duration of the Asian New Year. It must be speculated that Asians will heavily speculate on events during their holiday. Furthermore, it will be divided into two factions: Asian speculative big shots and Asian retail investors. These two sides will diverge. 7. Conclusion: The significant bearish events for ETH and altcoins will occur between the 28th and February 2nd, and whether it is possible for BTC to surge, there is currently no timeline or event, and it may not have appeared yet. 8. (Figure B) And just now on the 25th at 2 o'clock, a high point was mentioned, which currently seems to have turned bearish.
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