Forecast:
After the active purchase of the $USUAL token, a significant price drop to $0.80 is expected after January 7, 2025. The main factors that may lead to this are the high supply of tokens on the market and the decrease in demand after the end of the speculative wave.
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Justification of the forecast:
1. Speculative nature of growth before January 7, 2025:
Most buyers during this period are guided by the anticipation of an event that is attributed to significance for the project (for example, a news announcement, partnership, or stock exchange listing). Typically, after the event is over, speculative interest decreases and demand falls.
2. Sales pressure from the project team:
The project team’s reported daily sales of 2.7 million tokens are putting constant pressure on the market. This increases supply and reduces the chances of a stable price increase. If demand does not exceed this supply, the price will inevitably fall.
3. Limited organic demand:
During the active buying period until January 7, the main buyers are speculators, not long-term investors. As soon as the price starts to decline, speculators sell their assets, amplifying the effect of the decline.
4. Psychological pressure:
Key support levels, such as $1.00, are of great psychological importance to market participants. When they are broken, many traders activate stop-loss orders, which only accelerates the price decline.
5. Excessive focus on short-term project goals:
If the project team does not demonstrate a long-term development strategy and focuses only on raising capital through token sales, this can undermine investor confidence.
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Forecasted dynamics:
By January 7, 2025: Active price growth due to speculative demand.
After January 7, 2025: Massive capital outflow due to declining interest in the token and selling pressure from the team.
The result will be a price drop to $0.80 or below unless the team makes changes to the sales policy or ensures stable interest in the token through real value for its holders.
Recommendation: Investors should be cautious when assessing the long-term potential of the USUAL token and consider the high risk of capital loss after January 7, 2025.
