How will Trump's inauguration affect the crypto market and BTC.D?

1. Increase in uncertainty:

Historically, political events of this magnitude lead to increased volatility in the markets.

If Trump expresses support for cryptocurrencies or the adoption of blockchain technologies, this may boost optimism in the crypto market, including altcoins.

2. Risks for Bitcoin:

Possible statements regarding regulation or increased control over cryptocurrencies in the U.S. may impact Bitcoin's dominance.

If the administration's policies focus on tightening regulations, investors may begin reallocating capital to altcoins or moving into stablecoins.

3. Institutional capital:

Potential economic reforms or stimulus measures announced by Trump may lead to an increase in the flow of institutional capital into the cryptocurrency market.

Institutionals often prefer Bitcoin, which may temporarily support BTC.D.

1. Until January 20, 2025:

Bitcoin's dominance is likely to remain in the range of 57-58%, as the market will await specific statements from the new administration.

Volatility may increase depending on market expectations.

2. After the inauguration (from January 20 to 30):

If Trump announces support for cryptocurrencies or minimal regulation, Bitcoin's dominance may briefly rise to 59%.

However, if discussions about strict regulatory measures begin, BTC.D may sharply drop below 55%, which will act as a catalyst for the start of altseason.

3. February 2025:

After the inauguration, attention will shift to the actions of the administration. If the policies are neutral or positive for altcoins, Bitcoin's dominance may drop to 50-52% by mid-February.

Active growth of altcoins will begin, marking the start of altseason.

Recommendations for action:

1. Before the inauguration:

Monitor Trump's statements and his team's comments regarding the crypto market.

Prepare for increased volatility by setting stop-loss or limit order levels.

2. After the inauguration:

If BTC.D drops below 55%, start increasing the share of altcoins in your portfolio.

Consider the market's reaction to the first actions of the Trump administration.

Final forecast:

A decrease in Bitcoin's dominance and the start of altseason is likely at the end of January - February 2025, especially if the rhetoric of the new administration supports innovations in the crypto industry. It's important to monitor political and market sentiments in the coming weeks.