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Current situation:
• Current price: $13,755.
• Ichimoku levels:
o Cloud Top: $14.195.
o Cloud base: $12.087.
• MOTHER:
o 20-day: $12,623.
o 50-day: $10,405.
o 100-day: $9,212.
o 200-day: $8,594.
• Volumes: 6.6M (decreasing interest at current levels).
• SAR:
o High: $19.009 (confirms long-term bearish sentiment).
• OBV: $886.35M (in a downward phase).
• RSI: 56.61 (in the neutral zone, without clear signals).
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Fibonacci levels (with clarifications):
1. -1.0: $29.400 (long-term target of the long scenario).
2. -0.62: $25.307 (Fibonacci expansion zone where profit taking is possible).
3. -0.27: $21.536 (medium-term target for longs).
4. 0.0: $18.628 (key level for bullish trend recovery).
5. 0.5: $13.242 (significant support in the current correction zone).
6. 0.62 – 0.705: $11.949 – $11.034 (key area of deep correction).
7. 0.79: $10.118 (long-term support).
8. 1.0: $7.856 (extreme fall zone in short scenario).
9. 1.618: $1.199 (unreachable level in the near future in case of a prolonged decline).
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Key volume profiles:
• $13.242 – $13.755 (blue frame): current consolidation zone.
• $11,949 – $12,087 (yellow box): key support area.
• $10.118 – $10.405 (blue frame): volume support zone in case of deep correction.
• $7,856 – $9,212 (white frame): long-term area of interest for buyers.
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Scenarios for the development of events:
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Long scenario (65% probability):
• Conditions:
o The price holds the level of $13.242.
o RSI remains above 50, volumes start to increase.
• Entry points:
1. $13,242 – $13,500: entry on a rebound from support (0.5 Fibonacci).
2. $11,949 – $11,034: entry during deep correction.
• Goals:
0. $18,628: first target (0 Fibonacci).
1. $21,536: second target (-0.27 Fibonacci).
2. $25,307 – $29,400: long-term targets (-0.62 and -1.0 Fibonacci).
• Stop loss: below $11,000.
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Short scenario (35% probability):
• Conditions:
o The price breaks below $11.949 and consolidates below $11.034.
o RSI falls below 45, selling volumes increase.
• Entry points:
1. $13.242: entry on retest of broken support level.
2. $11.949 – $11.034: entry after breaking through the support zone.
• Goals:
0. $10.118: first target (0.79 Fibonacci).
1. $7,856: second target (1.0 Fibonacci).
2. $4.003: extreme target (1.618 Fibonacci).
• Stop Loss: Above $13,500.
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Probability coefficients:
• Long scenario: 65% (the $13.242 zone remains a strong support).
• Short scenario: 35% (probability increases with a breakout of $11,949).
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Conclusions:
1. Priority scenario: Long from $13,242 with targets of $18,628 – $21,536.
2. Risks: Strengthening of the short scenario upon a breakout of $11.949 downwards.
3. Recommendations: Monitor volumes and RSI to confirm direction.#UNI #Uniswp
