According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 87.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 12.8%. By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 50.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 44.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5.4%.