Graphic Analysis
1. The Role of EMA 50:
• It is observed that the price is testing the EMA 50 level. Such levels usually work as dynamic support or resistance.
• If the EMA stays above 50, the uptrend may continue. If it falls below, the price may test lower supports.
2. Target and Prices:
• It is stated that in the current situation, the price may find support at the EMA 50 level and move upwards again.
• The first target could be the previous peak of 110,000 - 115,000 USD.
• If it is higher, the trend may be expected to strengthen with new price discovery.
3. Support and Resistance:
• Support Levels:
• EMA 50 (currently around $94,000).
• Further down, the 90,000 - 92,000 USD range forms a strong horizontal support area.
• Resistance Levels:
• 100,000 USD psychological resistance.
• The USD 110,000 and then USD 115,000 levels are the main resistance levels.
4. Indicators:
• EMA 50: Indicates that the trend is upward.
• Since indicators are missing, the status of oscillators such as RSI and MACD is unknown. However, the work of EMA 50 supports a strong upward trend.
5. Formations and Transformations:
• The current formation may be a “pullback” after the ascending channel or support test.
• If the price bounces back from EMA 50, it confirms that the uptrend is continuing.
6. Trend Direction:
• The general trend is upward and EMA 50 shows that this trend is healthy.
• However, it is observed that there is a correction process in the short term.
Strategy Proposal
1. Short Term Strategy:
• As long as the price remains above EMA 50, purchases can be considered.
• Stop-loss level can be set below EMA 50 (for example 93,500 USD).
• Initial target: 100,000 USD.
• Second target: 110,000 - 115,000 USD range.
2. Medium and Long Term Strategy:
• The current correction may provide an opportunity to increase the position.
• A drop below the 90,000 USD level may constitute a warning signal for long-term investors.
3. Risk Management:
• Excessive risk should be avoided by controlling position size.
• Attention should be paid to selling pressures that may occur at psychological levels (e.g. 100,000 USD).
Conclusion
The chart shows that the upward trend continues, but EMA 50 plays a critical role. If this level is maintained, target prices can be resistance levels above. However, closing below EMA 50 can be considered as a signal of transition to the risky area.