Technical analysis (TA) of a cryptocurrency pair is the process of analyzing price data to forecast future movements based on historical data. Here is a step-by-step plan for conducting technical analysis:
1. Data collection
• Choose a trading platform with access to charts and historical data (e.g., TradingView, Binance, Bybit).
• Ensure you have access to data for the cryptocurrency pair of interest (e.g., BTC/ETH).
2. Timeframe selection
• Define the goal of the analysis:
• Short-term analysis: use shorter timeframes (5M, 15M, 1H).
• Long-term analysis: analyze daily or weekly charts (1D, 1W).
3. Chart construction
• Set the chart type: candlestick charts are most commonly used, where each candle shows the price movement over a certain period.
4. Trend identification
• Determine whether the pair is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways trend. To do this:
• Use trend lines.
• Apply moving averages (MA, EMA).
5. Analysis of support and resistance levels
• Identify key levels where the price is likely to pause, reverse, or accelerate:
• Find local minima and maxima.
• Use tools like Fibonacci or horizontal lines.
6. Application of technical indicators
Add indicators to confirm the analysis:
• Trend indicators:
• Moving Averages (SMA, EMA).
• Average Directional Index (ADX).
• Oscillators:
• RSI (Relative Strength Index) — determines overbought/oversold conditions.
• MACD — signals trend changes.
• Volume:
• Analyze trading volume to confirm movements.
7. Pattern identification
• Find classic chart patterns:
• Triangles (symmetrical, ascending, descending).
• Head and shoulders.
• Double bottom/double top.
• Flags or pennants.
8. Considering market sentiment
• Check the Fear and Greed Index.
• Assess the market participants' sentiment (bullish/bearish).
9. Trade planning
• Set entry and exit points based on analysis.
• Determine stop-loss and take-profit levels.
10. Monitoring and adjustment
• Regularly monitor price changes and adjust your plan.
Advice:
Always combine technical analysis with fundamental analysis and consider current news that may affect the market.