Bitcoin dominance analysis
#BITCOIN #dominance
From the provided charts of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), here’s a detailed breakdown and potential prediction:
Daily Chart (1D)
Analysis:
BTC dominance is currently in an upward-sloping channel, with support near 55% and resistance around 62.5%. After a recent dip to the lower boundary (55%), BTC dominance has bounced back and is moving upward toward mid-channel levels. Volume has been relatively stable, with a slight uptick on the recent recovery.
Short-Term #Prediction:
BTC dominance could test the 59% zone (mid-channel) as it continues the recovery. A break above this level may drive dominance to the upper channel around 62.5%.
Weekly #Chart (1W)
Analysis:
BTC dominance remains inside a clear ascending channel, trending higher since early 2023. The recent pullback dropped below the midline but bounced back quickly, showing bullish strength. The key support near 54%-55% held well, while resistance lies at 60%-64% (top of the channel).
Medium-Term Prediction:
BTC dominance is likely to continue upward toward 60%-62% over the next weeks. Breaking above 62% would signal further bullish momentum, potentially testing the upper boundary of the channel.
Monthly Chart (1M)
Analysis:
BTC dominance has been in a long-term uptrend since 2021 after bottoming around 40%. The dominance remains near key resistance between 58%-60%. The chart shows strong momentum with higher lows over the months. However, a clear break above 60% is yet to happen.
Long-Term Prediction:
If BTC dominance breaks above 60%, it could accelerate toward 70%, especially during Bitcoin-led market cycles (e.g., pre/post-halving periods). Conversely, failure at resistance may see a pullback to 50%-52%.
Overall Outlook
Short-Term (Days to Weeks): BTC dominance likely to target 59%-60%.
Medium-Term (Weeks to Months): A break of 60% could see BTC dominance push toward 62%-64%.
Long-Term (Months to Years): Potential for #BTC dominance to rise to 70% in a strong Bitcoin cycle, especially if altcoins underperform relative to BTC.