#btc #短线交易

The easiest trades to make on weekends are around the Friday CME closing price and the upper and lower resistance levels.

The BTC futures from CME are formal futures on Wall Street, with the market closed on weekends and reopening at 7 AM on Monday. The red line in the chart indicates the closing price, and the upper and lower ends of the orange box indicate the support and resistance levels.

Unless there is significant news on Thursday or Friday, or unexpected news over the weekend (such as Israel attacking Iran on Sunday), the weekend prices generally move around the nearest support and resistance levels to the CME closing price.

In my past statistics, in 93% of cases, the price will return to this closing price before Wednesday, with over 60% touching this price on Monday and around 40% touching this price within 3 hours after the market opens. On weekends, the price averages touching this level twice, excluding the 7% failure cases, with most fluctuations within 3%, reaching as extreme as 13%.

Currently, after a surge of $40,000, we are in a consolidation phase, and altcoins have not fully exploded, making it particularly suitable for this kind of trading.

Therefore, our strategy is also very simple: if the price deviates from the CME closing price by 1%, we open a position; if it returns to the closing price, we close the position; if it deviates more than 3%, we hold the position and wait for the price to return; total leverage is controlled within 2x.