everything is possible, last cycle bottom was 18k when Russia-Ukrania conflict started, another "black swan" event could trigger an scenario like the one you mentioned

I’ve been holding since ~$25K, and I’ll only buy back below $40K.
Here’s why and what’s coming next:
- Alts will pump hard soon
- BTC will now move sideways
- The bull cycle will end in October 2025
Here’s why I believe this will happen 🧵👇

2/➫ it’s been a fun journey with dozens of mistakes, selling and buying all the way from the FTX bankruptcy
At the moment, I have sold all my BTC and I’m not planning to buy back until $40k-$30k
Here is why I’m doing this and my brief market research:

3/➫ Firsty, the mistake many ppl make is that they want to hold
I don’t want to, I’m here to trade cycles and stick to my r/r plan
Rn, the r/r for BTC is around 15-20%
This is not interests me
After all, what’s the point of risking 300% profit for just an extra 15%?

4/➫ Bull Run Duration and BTC expectation
BTC had its 2nd run from $31k to $73k, a new ATH before the halving
In previous cycles, BTC reached its ATH after the halving
Cause of this, many retails thought the bull run would start right after it
But we’re already in it

5/➫ This is a typical market model that shows the top earlier than most expect, and then grows after a correction
The same was in previous cycle:
Everyone believed that $BTC would go to $100k, just like now they think it will go to $150k
I remember that sentiment, which is why I am confident about this

6/➫ But don't rush to sell everything you have, because the altseason is still ahead
BTC won’t drop to $40k in a minute, and as soon as it moves even slightly sideways, dominance will start to fall
At that point, the biggest altseason ever will likely begin

7/➫ The main thing to do is to stick to the right narratives
Since the AI narrative hasn’t really shown its full potential in this bull run yet, it means it will likely go up as one of the 1st
The same could happen with DePin, RWA, etc.
The main question remains: when will the bull cycle end and when should we take profits?

8/➫ Crypto is cyclical, and it shows this every time
According to the cycle, BTC should hit its top in Nov-Dec 2024
That’s what happened, and the bull run according to this same cycle will end in Sep 2025
Rn is the best time to accumulate alts with 100-200x upside
Here is why:

9/➫ In 2017 the bull market peaked exactly 29 months before the halving
In 2021 it did the exact same thing
And even now in 2024 it did the exact same thing
If any of you still think this could be a coincidence..
Keep reading:

10/➫ Both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets lasted exactly 12 months
At the same time, it's not just the numbers that are similar, but also the percentage of the drop in these bear markets
In the 2018 market, Bitcoin retraced 84%. In the 2022 one, there was only a 77% retrace

11/➫ In the last 2 cycles, BTC broke its ATH 7 and then 8 months after the halving
The same happened in 2024, and now, just like in previous cycles, the altseason should begin
Each bull run lasted 9, 9, and 11 months
This one will be the same, meaning the peak around Sep 2025

12/➫ This thread will help you position yourself correctly now and understand where you are in the cycle
The main advice remains: Taking Profit
Throughout the bull run, you need to keep this in mind
Cause it's better to miss out on 10-15% profit than to go down 90% in losses

➫ I hope you've found this thread helpful!

Dont forgett to like share and follow me ✅

#Altcoinseason2024 #bitcoin $BTC