Now there are a lot of assumptions about the Bitcoin supercycle, about mass adoption, about ETFs and about a million per Bitcoin. Let me explain the logic of my reasoning
1. The chart shows a historical chart on a Bitstamp monthly timeframe! Let's try not to complicate things with super analytics, but let's try to simplify everything based on the macro situation in the world from what we have seen in recent years and I'll show you the idea with a simple graph! I do not believe now and in the next ten years in Bitcoin for a million dollars! This is already speculation with people's emotions with the promise of random round numbers
2. The capitalisation of the entire cryptocurrency market is very small now, so with the arrival of institutionalised large corporate banks, when the balance sheets of Apple Microsoft Amazon companies will also contain Bitcoin, it will become less volatile and the chart will resemble the current stock chart! Every year the percentage profit from the growth of Bitcoin will become less and less!
3. If the cryptocurrency market and Bitcoin wanted to be reset, no one would be developing crypto regulation at the international level! Mass adoption of cryptocurrencies hasn't even started yet and I'm not talking about the cases in El Salvador, I'm talking about web3 oh no about the use of blockchain as a technology and not just speculation! Therefore, not all projects will survive, and liquidity will smoothly flow from Bitcoin and hundreds of thousands of speculative tokens to those that represent some kind of product and solution! But nevertheless, there will always be, and I repeat, there will always be coins that will give crazy profits but die in the long run! Only thanks to marketing and hype!
4. Every cycle, everyone comes up with a million versions of why Bitcoin is the future and a million versions of why it will go to zero! Neither is true! No one would create a pyramid for 15 years! This is just another sector of the financial market and there is absolutely no point in destroying it! Regulation will come in 2024-2026 and everyone will pay taxes and states are interested in developing this area and not killing something that can bring billions in tax profits!
5. On the chart now you see a peak on the Direction and ADZ indicator 2017 ascending trend line! In the attached photos you can see a basic 3 drives pattern that often works on hourly daily timeframes. Now the same story but with a monthly chart! And imagine that you now see a monthly divergence as if on the chart in a directive manner! I can't know the timing but most likely this cycle will end at the end of 2025 and this could peak either in May or November! As you can see on the graph, the main accumulation ended in the area of zone 27! Based on either the peak will be 1,618 or 2,618 or 86K or 120K
6. The crash after the cycle will be in the area either in the new zone 27, which is 34,000, or capitulation against the backdrop of new wars or a pandemic in the area of 9,500, where we will close the historical gap!
7. The third picture, which I have already shown several times, works with 100% accuracy!
Since 2019, we have been experiencing a long decline and a huge stream of terrible events in the world! From 2023 to 2026 we have a slight increase! Next we will again have a protracted bear market, new wars, famine and a pandemic! Believe it or not, it will happen! In which countries there will be wars I already roughly understand by analysing the politic and vector of China, Iran and Russia!
8. One of these days Iâll prepare thoughts on how not to lose money in a bull market, what Ill plan to do, how to build a strategy for a bull market, what to do with coins if you bought them in 2021! How to take profits and how to generally protect your health and psychological state during euphoria at peak levels! Now this will seem funny to you, but believe me, as the market grows, to your surprise, at the end of the growth you will not notice how, having earned money, you will commit a series of rash acts with your money and lose most of it
