I am a #trend analyst. There is more than one method to draw a trend, but one of the methods I find most effective is the Regression trend.
My theory is this. If a price moves above a rising trend, it will come back to that trend again. But if a price moves below a falling trend, it will return to that trend unless that crypto disappears.
In the chart below, you see a regression trend drawn between March and November 2020. As can be seen, the price of #Bitcoin rises above this trend and returns to this trend in May 2022.
Although it is not possible to predict the duration, the price will always return to these trends, and it should, in accordance with the law of large numbers.
In the second chart you see the hourly chart of #Ethereum . This time there is a falling regression trend and it is drawn between two vertical lines. As you can see, although the price enters a downward trend on this trend line for a while, it eventually breaks and the rise begins.
However, in this system, it would be logical not to use leverage and not to enter shorts. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, so you can lose most or all of your money when leveraged or shorted.
NOTE: It is not investment advice.