As Bitcoin aims for $100,000, investors are closely watching whether the long-awaited altcoin season is about to arrive. Against this backdrop, several established public chains, meme coins, and metaverse concept coins saw significant jumps starting last weekend, attracting close attention from investors.

The chart below shows the performance of the top 100 tokens over the past 24 hours. You can see that SAND (which surged over 100% in the past two days) and MANA, both established metaverse concept coins, have seen astonishing increases recently.





Performance of various sectors in the past week

According to Artemis data, in the blockchain sector over the past seven days:

The average increase reached a maximum of 36.4% for Data Availability (Celestia, Dymension, although this category has relatively few tokens).

The second place is Gaming at 25.4% (SAND, AXS, MANA…)

The third place is established public chains at 22.1% (ADA, VeChain, IOTA…)





What indicators can determine the arrival of altcoin season?

Although Bitcoin experienced some pullback last night, the trends of the above-mentioned strong coins still seem robust. How do we determine if altcoin season is coming? Or is it just the main force harvesting shorts? We might observe the changes in BTC.D (Bitcoin market share).

When the altcoin season arrives, the price increase of Bitcoin will gradually be surpassed by other cryptocurrencies, causing BTC.D to gradually decline from its high. Especially when BTC.D starts to drop sharply from a high point, it usually indicates that market funds are flowing into altcoins, serving as an important signal for the start of altcoin season.

Historically, when BTC.D falls below 50% and further declines to the 40% level, it may be the best time to capture the explosive rise of altcoins. Currently, BTC.D has recently adjusted from over 60% to the current 59.37%, but it is still quite far from 50%, and BTC.D has not dropped below 50% since the beginning of this year.

However, this year there have been multiple favorable factors for Bitcoin. Will the indicators for the arrival of altcoin season change? This remains to be seen over time.




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