Hello.
Right now I am in a position of 170k: 100k in Ethereum and 70k in Ton. In fiat — 550k. This is information for understanding the level of my long-term trading over the past three years: more than +200k in two years.
I want to comment and respond to those who create a manipulative information field for their positions. For example, if someone has completely exited, waiting for a drop or Bitcoin at 200k, they often draw the audience into this scenario.
I want to specifically mention beginner investors investing 100–1000 dollars. Their comments and thoughts rarely provide me with useful information — rather, they create noise. But this is important for understanding the general mood of different groups.
Now to the point.
I have been watching the market since Bitcoin was worth 3–6k, and at that time I had only about 3k dollars. This text is for those who suffer from FOMO, who analyze themselves and the market, who invest almost all their funds and feel a strong emotional involvement in the outcome.
Here are my observations and recommendations:
1) Trade only what you are not afraid to lose.
This is the main rule that protects against unnecessary stress.
2) Trade on the spot and in long-term positions.
Attempts to predict short-term movements are rarely successful. I prefer to analyze global market patterns using the fear and greed indicator. For example, in periods of panic and fear, I begin to accumulate positions.
3) Average positions in a falling market.
When Ethereum fell from 3800 to 2200, I started entering at 2900, buying at 20–30k. At each decrease of 5–15%, I averaged down my position. In the end, the average purchase price was
2550, and sales were 2900–3200, with a profit of 15–28% on the spot. I secured around 40k+.
4) Think in advance about the exit point.
This is as important as the entry. Often after a year of waiting, it is emotionally difficult to secure profits. I prefer the strategy of 'a bird in hand': better to secure a profit than to chase after claims that may never come.
5) Personal experiences of losses are lessons.
I started with altcoins and almost completely lost my deposit (which at that time was not large, but significant for me, 1000-3000 $ nearly all my funds, and it was with these funds that I began to understand the first lessons and manipulations of me). Then I realized that you should only trade assets you believe in long-term. For me, this is Ethereum, Bitcoin, and now TON, as I use this ecosystem and see Telegram's work.
6) The market is unpredictable. No one knows what will happen tomorrow.
I do not chase the x's, but choose assets that can recover even after a 70% drop. I trade not with my last money, but with what I can freeze for 5–7 years.
7) The market is created for manipulations.
It is important to remember that most big players are here solely for profit. During any crises, wars, or global events, the market can 'collapse' like a soap bubble. That’s why we can see Bitcoin at 20k.
The information field shouts for bulls or bears, but any sneeze can turn the market upside down.
8) People quickly forget history.
When Bitcoin fell to 15k, the mood and news were pessimistic, but then the market recovered. I bought Ethereum at 1100, waited about a year, and made +100k on a spot long. That’s why my plan now is to watch while being 70% in fiat.
9. Psychological comfort is more important than any positions.
No profit is worth living in constant stress, fear, or depression, even if you end up making money. It is important to manage yourself, maintain inner harmony, and be confident in your decisions.
If you cannot sleep peacefully knowing you have an open position, you have likely broken your own rules. It is important to clearly understand why and for what purpose you gathered the position. Awareness of the goal and confidence in your plan help maintain balance and avoid burnout.
The key point: the market comes and goes, but your mental health is your main capital. Investments should work for you, not you for them.
P.S. Perhaps my experience will be useful to someone and help understand that everything is possible in this market.
In conclusion, I want to note that investments, like any area of life, should bring not only material benefit but also preserve your happiness and health. As Kant said: "Happiness is not the ideal of reason, but the ideal of imagination."
When investing, it is important to remember that it is not the numbers on the screen that make us happy, but inner peace, awareness of our goals, and the ability to enjoy the process. Manage your finances in a way that serves you, rather than becoming a source of anxiety. Let your health, harmony, and mindfulness always be above any profit.
Wishing everyone peace, profits, and wise decisions.
(Although we understand that the profits of some are always someone else's losses.)
