The waiting time is finally over.
Your efforts are about to be richly rewarded.
Everything you learn in this installment will come together into a complete cycle in the coming months.
This period is critical to your present and future success. It is a critical time for you to showcase your talents and apply what you have learned. Congratulations on making it this far.
Now, let's get down to business. There is a brief summary at the end.
We have just entered the final phase of a four-year cycle. This is the most exciting and challenging time. Markets are volatile, prices can move by double digits overnight, and records are being set.
What is your exit strategy? To be successful, you need an exit plan. More on this later.
Just this week, Bitcoin reached a new high of $90,000. Not only was this a new price record, it was also the largest nominal gain in a 24-hour period. Bitcoin gained over $8,300 in a single day. See the chart below.
Soon, $10,000 daily swings will be the norm. Even though it feels crazy writing this down, it’s already 83% likely to happen. No wonder, in my last alpha post, I recommended that you don’t overcomplicate things and just buy a coin.
That's Bitcoin.
The price was $70,000 at the time. Since then, Bitcoin has risen by nearly 30%! Many people are looking for investment opportunities in altcoins, and the biggest opportunities are in front of them every day.
Bitcoin has the best risk/reward ratio among cryptocurrencies. When you consider risk and volatility, no other investment can compare to its rewards. Keep this in mind when you look for emerging coins that carry a higher risk.
However, altcoins are also growing rapidly. For example, DOGE has almost tripled in price since the beginning of November. I have been recommending it for several months when it was around 10 cents and now it is around 40 cents. This is the stage in the cycle where everyone can make easy money.
This is a time when everyone can make easy money.
However, this won't last long. This is usually the shortest phase in a cycle and the last phase before the cycle ends. The faster and higher the price goes up, the more likely we are to reach the top of the cycle soon. Therefore, if this momentum continues for several weeks, we will reach the top soon.
Here is the most optimistic scenario:
Bitcoin reaches $300,000 in April 2025. That’s only five months from now.
Can this happen? I have good news, so keep reading.
If the current momentum will mirror the pink section mentioned above, the most aggressive bull run in the previous cycle (October 2020 to April 2021), then Bitcoin could rise another 4x after the breakout point. We just had a similar breakout in this cycle.
If you look at the forecast, you can see that past price action reflects the 100,000, 200,000 and 300,000 resistance levels. This seems like a strange coincidence. We will all know what will happen, but there is reason to be optimistic.
There are rumors that some countries are entering the Bitcoin market due to fear of missing out.
Additionally, we have confirmation that institutional investors are allocating a portion of their funds to Bitcoin, sending the message that “you have to get exposure.” It’s a good thing that Bitcoin ETFs are coming online this year because now anyone can buy them.
What should you do?
If you’ve been following me for a while, you should already know that this is not actually the time to get market exposure because you’re already late. You get exposure in bear markets or when the market is quiet (or dead). We are in the opposite situation right now. Market sentiment is high and FOMO is starting to set in.
The final stage of this cycle is to sell and lock in profits. This doesn't mean you can't continue to buy and make money. You can, but the risk is higher now.
Bitcoin has entered the price discovery phase.
This means that Bitcoin has broken through its previous all-time high, and no one can predict how high it will go or where it will peak. Prices will fluctuate wildly and be full of uncertainty.
Buyers and sellers will test each other as they look for price apex. This is a very risky process as you don’t want to be the last person to take the position when the market suddenly turns. Be especially careful with your leverage as the market volatility will be very high.
Therefore, your goal is to exit when the market is active. Based on the chart above, the market will probably be most active in early 2025. This is your best exit time. Don't get too hung up on the specific price, but exit during that period. I'll share more tips on this in the next section.
1. Sell all altcoins when the market is most active
A good way to determine when to sell altcoins is to watch the performance of Ethereum and Solana. If they reach new all-time highs, this is a good signal to gradually profit as altcoins rise.
It is important to note that most altcoins, like DOGE, have their own market cycles and may rise earlier or later due to other factors. In the case of this cryptocurrency based on internet culture, it is because Elon Musk and President Trump continue to promote it.
Trump’s recent announcement is big news for DOGE holders. Considering the exposure it will get from this newly created department of government efficiency, i.e. DOGE, its price could rise to $1.
It is important to sell all altcoins when Bitcoin reaches its highs. Don't be caught when the next bear market comes.
2. Don’t sell your Bitcoin unless you have to.
I do not recommend selling Bitcoin because in the long run, it will continue to perform well and is expected to reach $1 million by 2030 or later. In this case, do you want to sell? It depends on your choice.
If you decide to sell, you can start from above $100,000 and gradually sell no more than 10% at a time. You want to gradually sell as the price rises, preferably near the highs. A similar strategy can be adopted for altcoins.
If you hold less than one Bitcoin, you should focus on accumulating as much as you can, or prepare funds to buy more in the next bear market. If you hold more than one, you can try to sell some at the highs so that you have funds to buy more later. In any case, use the gains from altcoins to buy Bitcoin in the next bear market.
Whatever you do, do not risk losing your Bitcoin. It is an important asset for your financial freedom. Focus on the long term. However, if the money means a lot to you, seriously consider the reasons for selling it. If you use it to buy a property, it had better be worth millions in the future. Remember, Bitcoin is the strongest asset in the world!
3. Manage the fear of missing out (FOMO), or you may suffer losses
A common mistake is that people sell and then see the price continue to rise and then rush to buy back in. Doing so is likely to result in entering again at the market high and resulting in losses.
This is a common trap that many people fall for. Therefore, you need to have a clear exit plan and be realistic about it. After selling, put the profits in a hard-to-reach place, such as a hardware wallet, or invest in gold (such as PAXG), and do not touch these funds for at least a year.
When the market panics and goes into so-called "death mode" (i.e. the media reports that Bitcoin is dead), you can return to the market with profits. Buy as much Bitcoin as you can at that time. I will help you at that time, please rest assured.
Summary and suggestions
We are in the most exciting phase of this crypto cycle, which is coming to an end;
This is when you sell and lock in huge gains, with the goal of exiting altcoins completely;
The end of the cycle is full of opportunities, but the risks are also extremely high;
Have a clear exit plan and execute it without being swayed by the fear of missing out (FOMO);
The window to exit may only last a few months, so take advantage of it;
Your ultimate goal should be to accumulate more Bitcoins, take the long view!
