Summary of BTC Surge and Drop in Three Points 😘😘😘😘😘😘

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The upcoming market may have three scenarios:

First, US stocks and BTC continue to surge, BTC drains liquidity, there is no altcoin season or a small range of altcoin season. This continues until the first half of next year, then a slight recession in the US economy leads to declines in US stocks and the cryptocurrency market, ending the bull market.

Second, US stocks and the cryptocurrency market collectively correct, and there might even be a small black swan event, where major players take the opportunity to crash the market and accumulate positions. Then around the second quarter of next year, the bull market gradually starts, and the altcoin season arrives.

Third, a combination of the above two scenarios, where the first wave of bull market sees US stocks and BTC continue to surge, BTC drains liquidity, and there is no altcoin season or a small range of altcoin season. This lasts until the first quarter, then declines due to events. Following this, as the impact of events fades and interest rate cuts accelerate, the market restarts in the second half of the year, leading to an altcoin season characterized by rotation, lasting until the end of the year.

The probability of the first scenario is relatively low. The second and third scenarios are difficult to predict because the difference between these two scenarios is whether there will be a wave of sentiment-driven bull market at this moment. If there is a first wave of bull market, it should be a trading sentiment 'fantasy' market, where the industry narrative and capital liquidity are not yet in place, and market sentiment can be said to be extremely volatile and hard to predict.

I lean towards the second scenario, possibly influenced by personal positions, currently at 60% #BabyMarvinf9C7