What are the highlights of the Fed's interest rate decision?
FOMC statement
(1) Rate cut path: The 25BP rate cut is a foregone conclusion. Pay attention to whether the pace of rate cuts will be slowed down in the next few meetings.
(2) Voting ratio: There may be more votes against rate cuts. Bowman prefers a 25BP rate cut rather than a 50BP rate cut in September.
(3) Inflation and employment: There may be a slight increase in inflation assessments and a slight escalation of the weak employment situation. Risks are still roughly balanced.
Powell press conference
(1) Economic data: In response to last month's non-farm data, it may acknowledge the recent weakness in the labor market while affirming inflation progress.
(2) Trump's victory: It is expected that there will be no detailed discussion of the potential policy impact of Trump's second term, and independence will be reiterated.
(3) Forward guidance: It is expected to send a signal of further rate cuts, but will not provide clear guidance for the future; reiterate that it depends on data and the future is still uncertain; it may imply a pause in rate cuts if the job market is stronger than expected and inflation intensifies. #DOGE看涨情绪飙升 #美联储利率决议来袭 #山寨季将至? #特朗普加密政策承诺 #美国大选后涨或跌? $ETH $BTC $SOL