At midnight Eastern Standard Time on November 5, the 60th U.S. presidential election voting officially began. Counting in each state officially started on the morning of November 6, Beijing time, and the results of the election will be preliminarily determined today.

This election is particularly noteworthy, not only because both candidates have commendable backgrounds and campaign journeys, but also because it is taking place against the backdrop of significant political and economic upheavals in the U.S. and even globally.

Real-time Data

Electoral Vote Status

According to AP live statistics, Harris has secured 109 electoral votes, while Trump is temporarily leading with 198 votes (as red states are counting relatively faster).


Key Swing State Status

In this election, 8 swing states including Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin will have a crucial and even decisive impact on the final election results, regarded as the battleground between Harris and Trump.

In the current real-time vote count in key states, Trump is leading in Georgia and North Carolina, while being overtaken by Harris in Wisconsin. Harris's lead in the crucial state of Pennsylvania has essentially been leveled by Trump, while maintaining a slight advantage in Michigan and Nebraska's 2nd district. After 49% of the latest votes in Arizona have started to be counted, Harris is currently slightly ahead of Trump.

Currently, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are all in the Too Close To Call stage, with more counting results awaiting further statistical observation.

Comparison of Prediction Market Data

In this election, the data provided by various prediction markets regarding the election outcome has further diverged today. Currently, Polymarket data shows that Trump's winning probability has risen from 71.5% in the morning to 79.6%, and has now risen again to 88.5%, setting a new historical high. Meanwhile, RealClear Polling's average results based on various polls indicate that Trump's lead over Harris is still only 0.1.

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