Early voting has begun in 47 states and the District of Columbia, with Trump's polling support leading Harris, possibly allowing him to return to the White House. At this critical moment, the Democratic Party's mouthpiece has also shifted its stance. So, who will ultimately come out on top in the election?
Media and political experts from various countries are paying close attention to the latest developments in this election battle, hoping to make a reasonable assessment and analysis. As of October 29, 47 states and the District of Columbia in the United States have cast 48 million votes, showing a significant increase in voter participation compared to four years ago. According to statistics released by some media organizations, in 27 of those states, early Republican votes accounted for 35%, slightly lower than the Democrats' 39%. However, it's important to note that the gap between the two was 16 percentage points four years ago. Therefore, in a sense, the Republican campaign advantage is slightly higher than that of the Democrats this time. Nevertheless, the most noteworthy aspect for the outside world is the Republican Party's outstanding performance in the seven key swing states.
It is reported that in the voting in North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona, the Republican Party holds an advantageous position, while in Pennsylvania, the support rates for the Republican and Democratic parties are nearly equal, with Harris and Trump essentially splitting all the votes.
However, looking at the overall situation, Trump still holds a greater advantage in these seven key swing states. States like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Georgia, which previously helped President Biden successfully take office in the 2020 election, are now slowly leaning towards Trump. While there is no clear data to prove that these three states will allow the Republicans to suppress the Democrats, it is undeniable that Trump currently possesses a level of prestige that is difficult for Harris to match. Compared to the younger Harris, Trump, with his four years of presidential experience, finds it easier to gain the support and recognition of lower-income American voters. Of course, Trump's firm control over the initiative in the election is also aided by those key external 'assists.'
Aside from past controversies, Harris's political wisdom displayed during television interviews does not seem particularly outstanding. For instance, in response to a reporter's question about 'who is closer to Israel, her or Trump,' Harris spent the entire time attacking and criticizing Trump without providing her own stance on the matter. This has, to some extent, affected her support among American Jewish voters.#美国大选后行情预测 #11月市场预测 
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