Fed Rate Cut Odds Soar to 83%: What It Means for Markets and Your Portfolio

  • Market expectations for a November Fed rate cut increased to 83.7% from 67.9%.

  • Key economic data in the form of CPI and PPI will shape market sentiment this week.

  • Crypto markets face selling pressures despite optimism in equities.

At the Federal Reserve meeting on October 9, 2024, officials expressed a cautious stance on inflation, suggesting that the central bank may not be confident in its ability to combat rising prices. This has led investors to anticipate a smaller interest rate cut of 25 bps in November, with the probability increasing from last week’s 67.9% to 83.7%.

The latest Fed minutes show a less optimistic outlook on inflation as the central bank’s fight against inflation continues. The strong payroll data from last Friday also fueled speculation of a rate cut. The probability of a cut has increased significantly, and is now over 80%.

Read also : Fed Rate Cut: Dividend ETFs and Crypto See Massive Inflows

Having said that, the Fed’s recent interest rate cut sparked a rally in both the stock and crypto markets. U.S. dividend ETFs recorded a surge in inflows, attracting $3.05 billion in September. At the same time, Bitcoin’s gained 15% alo…

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