$BTC

1. Holiday black swan event: The EU imposes tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, triggering a trade war and potential reciprocal sanctions.

The EU voted to impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles for a period of five years to build a tariff barrier. As an important trend in future travel, the rise of electric vehicles in the emerging market has triggered international trade tensions and competition. However, the EU's initial low-carbon and environmentally friendly initiative changed after Chinese companies completed the design, processing and manufacturing of electric vehicles. This undoubtedly casts a shadow on China-EU economic relations.

2. Hong Kong stock market volatility: During the holiday, China Merchants Securities surged 120%, CITIC Securities surged 50%, and the average increase was 30%. Real estate stocks also performed similarly. This strong trend made investors who held positions with an increase of less than 30% embarrassed to mention it. On the Douyin live broadcast platform, a senior anchor predicted that the stock market would break through 4,000 points after the holiday, sparking heated discussions.

However, we need to think about it by contradiction: if the stock market really reaches 4,000 points after the holiday, then the increase from 2,689 points to 4,000 points will reach 50%, and the short-term profit chips will exceed 10 trillion. With limited new funds, when buying gradually decreases and selling pressure increases, can the stock market continue to rise? If it stops, the selling pressure will be more serious, the buying orders will be greatly reduced, and the profit-taking will cause violent shocks. New investors may be trapped when the stock price falls.

3. Gold market trend: Gold bull market paused? Non-farm data exceeded expectations, and gold lost its upward momentum. Gold was originally expected to continue to rise, but last night's non-farm data was very good, which almost eliminated the expectation of a 50 basis point interest rate cut this year. Gold is currently facing huge pressure, and it is unclear whether it can hold the cross line.

4. A50 Index Futures Fluctuation: The fluctuation of the A-share market during the holiday period has attracted attention. On October 8, the market may need to digest various pre-holiday information, and investors should remain cautious. Mr. Ren Zeping suggested that investors take a break on October 8 and pay attention to the stock market on October 9.

Summary: Market volatility intensifies during the holiday period. Investors need to pay close attention to market trends, make rational analysis and judgment, and make prudent decisions.

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