October is destined to be turbulent:
1. Non-agricultural data and unemployment rate data on October 4. Low non-agricultural data is good news, low unemployment rate is good news, and vice versa.
2. US CPI data on October 10. If it can reach 2.2 as Powell said, it will definitely be good news, and interest rates may continue to be cut in the future. Vice versa.
3. Retail sales growth on October 17 is also important, reflecting the level of consumption.
4. Japan's CPI data on October 18 will be released. If it is high, Japan is likely to raise interest rates.
5. US GDP data will be released on October 30. If it is higher than 3, it means it is positive. If PCE is high, the probability of interest rate cuts will decrease.
6. The Bank of Japan announced that interest rates are normal, and there is a high probability of raising interest rates.
Pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and oil prices.
