Huida AI model predicts the trend of typhoon Shantuoer
The strange path of Typhoon Shantol is unpredictable, but artificial intelligence (AI) seems to have already understood its whereabouts. According to (Dongsen News) reports, multiple AI models, including NVIDIA, had predicted that Shantuoer would land in western Taiwan as early as last Saturday.
In fact, Huida CEO Huang Jen-Hsun introduced the ability of AI to predict climate change when he came to Taiwan for a speech in June this year, and Taiwan’s Central Meteorological Administration has also adopted related platforms to predict the landing location of typhoons. This time, Typhoon Shantuoer was originally expected to move northward from the eastern sea to Taiwan, but last week, the predicted path of various countries was suddenly revised significantly to the west.
The meteorology fan site "Watch the Weather" shared multiple AI prediction path maps on September 28. AI models including Huida and Microsoft all predicted that Shantuoer would land in western Taiwan.
The predictions of AI triggered heated discussions among netizens. Some people praised: "Huida AI also said that it will land from the west, which is a bit scary." Others said: "There will be no weather forecasters in the future, and AI has taken care of it."
On October 1, the fan blog shared the latest predictions of the AI model. Four of the seven models simulated that the typhoon may continue to move at a turtle speed in the northeastern coast of Taiwan, and even turn westward in the northern coast. .
The Japan Meteorological Agency predicts the path of Shantara
However, there is a big gap between the predictions of the AI model and those of the Japan Meteorological Agency.
According to the (United News Network) report, the latest forecast from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows that Shantuoer may move south again after landing, forming a "returning" trend.
The Japan Meteorological Agency stated that the typhoon is expected to land in Tainan and Kaohsiung this morning (it has landed in Kaohsiung at 12:40), move northeast for a certain distance, and then move south. It may move to Pingtung on October 4, which means that the storm circle may It has enveloped the southwestern and southeastern regions of Taiwan for a long time.
Picture source: Japan Meteorological Agency Japan Meteorological Agency forecast: Typhoon Shantuoer will turn southward
Will there be another typhoon holiday tomorrow (10/4)?
Faced with such complex typhoon dynamics, what the public is most concerned about is whether there will be another typhoon holiday.
According to the (Economic Daily) report, Wu Wanhua, the Central Meteorological Administration, said this morning that typhoon Shantuoer is expected to weaken rapidly after entering land, and may weaken into a tropical depression tomorrow (10/4).
The latest wind and rain forecast released by the Central Meteorological Administration at 16:00 today shows that in the next 24 hours (10/3 20:00-10/4 20:00), there are currently only 3 counties and cities with wind and rain that meet the standards for suspending work and classes. : Taitung County (rainfall reaches standard), Penghu County, Lianjiang County (wind reaches standard).
Source: Does the Central Meteorological Administration still have typhoon holidays? Taiwan’s cumulative rainfall forecast for the next 24 hours
Source: Does the Central Meteorological Administration still have typhoon holidays? Taiwan wind forecast for the next 24 hours
However, whether there will be a typhoon holiday is still awaiting the official decision of each county and city government. According to the "Regulations on Suspension of Work and School Work due to Natural Disasters", a shutdown can only be announced when a typhoon is likely to pass within a 4-hour radius, and the average wind force reaches level 7 or above or the gust reaches level 10 or above, or the 24-hour cumulative rainfall forecast reaches a certain standard. Classes are suspended.
The Central Meteorological Administration reminds the public that the coastal areas in southwestern Taiwan still need to be alert to the risks of typhoon surges and seawater intrusion, while areas such as Pingtung, Kaohsiung, and Tainan should beware of possible disasters caused by strong gusts and short-term heavy rainfall. During a typhoon, the public should pay close attention to the latest weather information and be prepared for disaster prevention.
