In life, we often think we can predict the future and confidently plan our life trajectory based on past experience and knowledge. However, the book "Black Swan" is like a loud alarm bell, reminding us that the world is full of unpredictable extreme events.
At the beginning, the author's explanation of "black swan" is thought-provoking. For thousands of years, people have only seen white swans, until the mysterious black swan appeared and broke everyone's cognition. In our lives, sudden events such as stock market crashes and cryptocurrency collapses are also like black swans, catching us off guard.
In the eight years in the cryptocurrency industry, the author has deeply experienced the limitations of knowledge. Constantly learning new concepts, from ICO to BRC20, I thought I understood them, but I often fell into confusion. The more I know, the narrower my vision becomes, while those traditional financial practitioners who have experienced many ups and downs are more calm. This makes us realize that experience is not always reliable and it may deceive us.
Many examples listed in The Black Swan, such as the 9/11 incident in New York and the sudden outbreak of war in countries that have never experienced war, show us the unpredictability of extreme events. In contrast, some "knowledgeable" bloggers share their views on the Internet self-righteously, but they don't know that they may also encounter their own black swans. Knowledge makes us humble because we never know how many unknown black swans are waiting for us.
When we realize that black swans are a normal phenomenon in life, we should not be afraid or avoid them, but be ready to meet them at any time. We should accept unexpected events with an open mind and not try to judge their laws, because they may be beyond our past experience. We should cultivate the ability to resist black swans and strengthen ourselves through humble learning, just like the phrase "gross development" in King of Glory.
Developing your own growth system is the most calm way for us to face the black swan. Although I haven't finished reading this book, it has brought us profound inspiration. Let us face the uncertainty in life with an open mind and easily welcome every black swan in life. Recommend some books about the black swan effect. How to deal with the risks brought by black swan events? How to identify and deal with black swan events in investment?
#大A香还是大饼香 #黑天鹅
