Shiba Inu reaching $1 is highly improbable, even if it experiences a rally similar to 2021. During that year, SHIB surged by 45,000% from January to May and then by another 1,500% to hit its all-time high of $0.00008845 in October. While a repeat rally could yield significant gains, reaching $1 faces several challenges:
1. Massive Circulating Supply: Despite token burns, SHIB still has a vast number of tokens in circulation. To reach $1, its market cap would need to exceed the combined market caps of Bitcoin and Ethereum, which is unlikely under current conditions.
2. Unique Conditions of 2021: The 2021 rally was fueled by social media hype, meme culture, and a surge of retail investors. While these factors could contribute to another rise, it's doubtful that the market will witness a similar rally again, especially with more investment alternatives now available.
3. Even a Similar Rally Isn’t Enough: A 45,000% increase from the current price of $0.0000154 would only bring SHIB to approximately $0.00698—still far from $1.
In conclusion, despite the potential for another rally, Shiba Inu reaching $1 is highly unlikely due to its vast supply, changing market conditions, and the need for more than just hype to sustain such a price level.