$BTC

In the seven days leading up to September 25, its price rose by 8.2%, from $59,886 to $64,816. However, the resistance level at $64,500 proved more challenging than expected and was last tested on August 25. Weak macroeconomic data reduced investors’ risk appetite, which also contributed to the Bitcoin price decline on September 25.

The median new home sales price in the U.S. fell 4.6% annually in August after the fastest increase since early 2022, according to Yahoo Finance. Home prices have fallen for seven straight months, the longest period of decline since 2009. Also of note is the fact that 467,000 completed homes are now available for sale. Another source of concern for global investors is China’s interest rate cuts and the opening of a $142 billion credit line to individuals and businesses. Nomura analysts said these measures were “not enough to stop the worsening economic slowdown,” and called for fiscal measures.

Warren Buffett-led Berkshire Hathaway has further reduced its holdings in Bank of America, totaling $8.9 billion in three months. This has raised concerns in financial markets as the S&P 500 hit an all-time high on September 25. Bitcoin investors are wary that a possible stock market correction could negatively impact the cryptocurrency’s performance.

In addition to concerns about a global economic downturn, Bitcoin investors are also closely watching the US presidential election in November. Alex Svanevik, CEO of blockchain analytics platform Nansen, said Democrats have created a “relatively hostile environment for crypto.” Svanevik predicts that Kamala Harris will continue the current administration’s crypto policies.

Bitcoin bulls are supporting Donald Trump as they hope for a Republican victory in the upcoming election. Trump defended Bitcoin miners during his campaign and spoke at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Tennessee. He also appeared at a bar and restaurant in New York that traded in Bitcoin, where Bitcoin was used to buy a hamburger.

As the BTC price approaches its highest levels since August, investors are taking a cautious approach. The weakening risk appetite is also reflected in the behavior of leveraged traders. According to the futures premium, the main indicator of Bitcoin derivatives, there has been a lack of enthusiasm for price growth in recent weeks. Since September 2, the Bitcoin futures premium has been neutral, indicating a lack of confidence among bulls. For example, on July 30, the BTC futures premium had risen to 11% after a 25% price increase in three weeks. Current data shows that sentiment in the derivatives market has remained stable despite Bitcoin’s 20% gain between September 6 and September 24.

Bitcoin’s underperformance on September 25 can be attributed to weak macroeconomic data, fears of a stock market correction, and the uncertain impact of the US presidential election on the cryptocurrency world.

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