Hello everyone😀 On the eve of the listing of the much-talked about Hamster Combat, I suggest analyzing the possible price range for the token without fantasies about $1-2.

First, let's look at what the token price is formed from. The token price is formed from the ratio of supply and demand. The greater the demand and the less supply, the higher the price.

Based on the $HMSTR distribution data from Binance, we can see that the developers are going to airdrop 60,000,000,000 (60 billion) tokens in the first season. This is the total possible supply in the market, not counting the tokens allocated to the development team and partners.

The demand for the token depends on what benefit the project brings to the crypto industry, or what interest it represents for the crypto community. According to Hamster documentation, their token will only be used within the project itself as an in-game currency, and this is a very narrow part of the community. Accordingly, the demand for the token will be minimal.

Now let's directly calculate the asset value. To do this, let's try to imagine what capitalization the project can theoretically achieve, and then divide the capitalization by the number of tokens. This way we will get an approximate price. Let's take the capitalizations of some of the most famous meme coins: $FLOKI (1.35 billion), $BONK (1.31 billion) and the recently listed $DOGS (446 million).

Let's assume that by some incredible coincidence the capitalization of $HMSTR reaches 1.5 billion usd. (This will not happen, because as I said above, there is very little demand for the token). We need 1,500,000,000 / 60,000,000,000 = 0.025 dollars per token. In this case, 1000 tokens = 25$.
In reality, I assume that the hamster's capitalization will not exceed 200 million simply because everyone will immediately start selling to get at least something. In this case, the token price will be 200,000,000 / 60,000,000,000 = 0.003 dollars per token at its peak. That is, 1000 tokens will cost 3 dollars.

Bottom line: I will immediately sell all my tokens at the market price, because I believe that the project is unpromising and the situation is not expected to be better than at the very start.