⛱Research report: How have various assets performed after the Fed started to cut interest rates?

Certain rules have emerged in the 7 rounds of interest rate cuts. Before the first interest rate cut, US bonds, gold, etc. usually benefit;

After the first interest rate cut, the risk of price fluctuations of most assets has increased in stages. After 2-3 months, US bonds and US stocks may perform positively. Before and after the interest rate cut, the winning rate of US bonds is relatively high.

1. US bonds: The interest rate trend is downward, but in the case of a "soft landing", it may rebound in stages within 1-2 months after the first interest rate cut.

2. US dollar index: There is no absolute correlation between the trend and the interest rate cut, and whether it is a "soft landing".

3. US stocks: The rally may "stalled" before and after the first interest rate cut, but it usually resumes rising 2-3 months after the interest rate cut.

4. Gold: The probability of rising before the interest rate cut is high, but the trend after the interest rate cut is unclear.

5. Crude oil: The probability of falling after the interest rate cut is high, but it is not absolute.

For assets like #Bitcoin, I have only one sentence: You can't imagine the big surge!