Research report: Analysis of the performance of various assets after the Fed's interest rate cut
In the 7 rounds of interest rate cut cycles, some obvious patterns have emerged. Before the first interest rate cut, assets such as US bonds and gold usually benefit.
After the first interest rate cut, the price volatility risk of most assets will increase, but after 2-3 months, the performance of US bonds and US stocks will usually be positive. Overall, the winning rate of US bonds before and after the interest rate cut is relatively high.
1. US bonds: Although the interest rate trend is downward, in the case of a "soft landing", it may rebound in stages within 1-2 months after the first interest rate cut.
2. US dollar index: There is no absolute correlation between its trend and interest rate cuts and whether it is a "soft landing".
3. US stocks: Before and after the first interest rate cut, the rise may slow down temporarily, but it will usually resume within 2-3 months after the interest rate cut.
4. Gold: The probability of rising before the interest rate cut is high, but the performance after the interest rate cut is uncertain.
5. Crude oil: The probability of falling after the interest rate cut is high, but not absolute.
As for Bitcoin, I just want to say: the future surge will be beyond your imagination! The above is a personal intraday market analysis, first published by "Public Account: Shasha Talks Blockchain", welcome to exchange and learn together!
