The Federal Reserve's November decision is approaching, and the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut has increased!
According to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's November rate cut are gradually becoming clear: the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 69.8%, while the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 30.2%. Although the market is more inclined to a small adjustment of 25 basis points, a large rate cut of 50 basis points is becoming another powerful option.
Judging from the current data, every decision of the Federal Reserve will have a profound impact on the market, especially in the crypto market. If the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points, it may trigger greater market volatility, especially for mainstream assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. This rate cut may be seen by the market as a more accommodative signal, driving risk assets up. If the interest rate is only cut by 25 basis points, the market may think that the Federal Reserve is still cautious, which will trigger more wait-and-see sentiment.
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Whether it is 25 basis points or 50 basis points, every step of the Federal Reserve will reshape the market pattern. Early layout and seizing the opportunity are the key to success!
